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Zestimates vs. Reality in Sandy Springs Georgia

Zillow is a great idea.  Be able to value every house in America.  Just type in your address and it will give you a Zestimate, an estimation of what your home is worth.

It's kind of like Google.  They have a secret computer algorithm the pulls data from a variety of sources and spits out a value.  But how good are their numbers?

They make it seem like they are very precise.  They give values in $500 increments.  They send you an email every month with updated pricing.  It makes you believe that they are pretty reliable.

I figured it was easy enough to do a quick analysis in my local market of Sandy Springs.  I took the last 12 sales for the past month and compared the Zestimates with what the home actually sold for.  After all, the sales price is the only real indicator of value at any particular time.  It's a willing buyer giving real cash to a willing seller.

Here is my spreadsheet:

Look at that error range in column C.  Zillow was under the actual price by as much as 72% and was above the actual sales price by as much as 38%.  They were off on average by 23%.

Think about that for a second.  That's a pretty big error range.  For a $400,000 home, a 23% error range is from $308,000 to $492,000. 

If you actually dig around the Zillow site, you'll find a page where they actually show their own studies on their accuracy.  In Atlanta they say that their Median Error is 8.8%. 

They break it down in different ways.  By their numbers, 24.4% of Zestimates are off by more than 20%,

They do say make important disclaimers in their description of a Zestimate.

  • It is a computer-generated estimate of the worth of a house today, given the available data.

  • Our data sources may be incomplete or incorrect;

  • we have not physically inspected a specific home

  • does not consider all the market intricacies that can determine the actual price a house will sell for.

  • When it comes to unique homes (e.g., luxury mansions, unusual designs) we are less accurate in our Zestimates.

Zillow does have some nice charts of historic prices by zip code and area.  Maybe the exact prices are off but the general trends seem to be pretty accurate.  You can go back up to 10 years.

Listing status is also not updated very often.

It gets frustrating when I work with buyers who insist on using Zillow as their primary search tool.  I'll send them listings and then they'll send me a list of homes that weren't on my list and they ask me why I didn't include them.  When I look them up, they'll come up as "pending sale" or "expired" or even "sold".  I've seen some homes that were sold several months ago still showing up as "available" in Zillow.  At first, a buyer gets excited thinking that they have found a special home that no one else knows about only to find out that it's a listing that Zillow hasn't updated the status for yet.  So beware of this.  Zillow is pretty and it is presents very nicely but please be aware of its short comings.

Tim Maitski

404-216-0472

September 30, 2010

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Our market area is in the north metro Atlanta area.  We service Cobb County, north Fulton County, Dekalb County, Forsyth County and Gwinnett County.  We are very familiar with Sandy Springs, Dunwoody, Marietta, Roswell, Alpharetta, Buckhead, and Midtown. 

We have sold homes inside the perimeter and outside the perimeter.  We can't know everything so for clients who want to look for property in Peachtree City, Newnan, Stone Mountain, Douglasville, Macon and areas further out we will gladly recommend a good agent who specializes in those areas.

We help buyers negotiate with builders for residential new construction houses. New houses in Atlanta are hot right now. We can represent you in the purchase of your new house built by any of the following builders: Torrey Homes, MDC Homes, Centex Homes, Pulte Homes, Morrison Homes, Ryland Homes, John Wieland Homes, Winmark Homes, Meridian Homes, John Willis Homes, Benchmark Homes and many more home builders.

We can help clients find short term apartments for rent but normally we don't work with clients who are just looking for rentals.  We do help clients find Atlanta condos.  We can also help you purchase HUD homes in Atlanta.  We are an authorized agent with them and have the HUD key to get into HUD homes.  We have access to foreclosure homes that banks want to sell.

We love showing executive homes and luxury homes. We always like to know how people find our site.  Send us an email and tell us which search term you used. Some terms that we might be found by are realty Atlanta, Ga homes, Atlanta realty, condos Atlanta, Atlanta realestate, Atlanta property, houses Atlanta, Atlanta realtors, Ga houses, or realtors Atlanta.  Maybe you found us by typing in Atlanta MLS listings, or Atlanta MLS search, or MLS Atlanta GA. Hopefully we don't come up under nursing homes or funeral homes.

It is always amazing to me how the Internet can allow total strangers to find each other and build new business relationships.  It truly is becoming a small, interconnected world.

 

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All information about homes from the Atlanta MLS home search engine is input by thousands of individual real estate agents throughout Atlanta and is made available through a service called ListingBook. We provide access to this data for the convenience of our clients.  We have no control over this database.  All information on this web site is copyrighted and intellectual property of HomeAtlanta.com. It is deemed to be current and accurate, but is not warranted.© 2002. Tim is a licensed Realtor with Atlanta Communities Real Estate Brokerage.

Tim Maitski is a member of the Atlanta Board of Realtors

 

01/07/2016